It has been a busy week in the Holme Valley.
And a momentous one. I finally got some roses, four in all, the variety being
an old English shrub type, Munstead Wood (named after one of Gertrude Jekyll’s
gardens, I believe.) All it needs now is
someone to dig four holes and also a bit of deft trowel work with the old
slobbydosh to convert the pile of bricks into a sundial column, and Robert is
your avuncular relative! There is no sign of this happening in the near future,
however, owing to the lack of willing helpers, paid or unpaid. So the roses are
still in their pots, the bricks are still in the back garden, and the tubs of
slobbydosh covered up under the ramp.
The weather has remained odd, and of course the Midsummer Solstice has been and gone, so I have started to feel that imperceptible slant down towards the dark again. When it’s been good, like the little girl in the rhyme, it’s been very very good, but when it’s been bad, it’s been horrid. Some of the showers have been almost of Biblical proportions, only missing the addition of frogs and locusts, but often accompanied by the odd rumble of thunder, enough to send Misty Muttkins barrelling into what used to be Colin’s front room to hide from the nasty noise in the sky, curling up in her little bolt-hole on the settee and trembling until it goes away.
Matilda’s antipathy to the showers is more practical in
nature. She doesn’t give a stuff about the thunder, but she does mind getting
wet, and a couple of times during the last week she’s managed to misjudge it
badly and end up being caught outside when a cubic ton of rain fell out of the
sky. Both times she scuttled back in looking like the proverbial drowned rat,
and both times, as per the long-standing Rudd family tradition, I dried her off
with kitchen roll. The squirrels are of
sterner stuff, and sit out there on the decking in the midst of the storm,
happily munching away on peanuts and sunflower seeds out of the bird food,
carelessly casting aside the empty husks and creating a right mess.
As the end of term got nearer, Deb has been able to carve
out some time to go on more extended “walkies” again with Misty and Zak. She
returned the other day brandishing a red flower and a feather in her hand.
“What is that called?” she asked. “A feather,” I replied, “commonly found
attached to a bird.” “No,” she said, “the flower.” It was Red Valerian, and
we’ve decided we’re going to have some next time I order from Norfolk Herbs.
Cats like it, so at least Matilda will be happy.
The solstice itself passed almost un-noticed. Normally, I would have liked to have stopped
and marked it in some way, but life is so full-on and relentless that it was
just another blur of a day, like so many others. I felt sad, afterwards,
especially when I realised it might well have been one of the last good days I
ever had. Because of course, the one
event which has overshadowed everything else this week, even the
long-anticipated end of term, which we have all been looking forward to, was the
Referendum.
On Wednesday, the night before the fateful day,I was tempted
to post a link on Facebook to Laurence Olivier doing the St Crispin’s Day
speech from Henry V except that all the whirly-eyed UKIP supporters would
probably dimly (I use the word advisedly) recognise it as Shakespeare and
automatically think, because of that, I was backing Brexit.
But it was going to be a momentous day tomorrow, I thought, and,
almost as important, it would finally mark the end of this dishonest, nasty,
xenophobic, Muslim-hating, knuckle-dragging (did I already say dishonest) lying
campaign by Brexit. It would also mark
the end of the lacklustre and occasionally deeply stupid Remain campaign. It
would also mark a week since Jo Cox was murdered. Anyway, the great day finally arrived, and,
as is my custom, I decided to stay up and watch the results as they came in.
As the early hours of the morning wore on, it became clear
that the battle was already lost. People
had rebutted and repudiated the Brexit myths till the proverbial cows came home,
but the people had still trundled out and voted to leave on Thursday because
they thought that by doing so they were going to ethnically cleanse Britain and
usher in a bright new dawn where there are suddenly homes, houses and schools
for everyone, and they had clearly done so with their hands firmly clamped over
their ears and only removed them when UKIP issued a new racist poster or Boris
blew his dog whistle about “taking Back Control” and making Britain great
again.
As I had written in this blog many times, I had assumed that
the lies of Brexit would prevail, and my prediction of a 65% vote to commit
economic Hari-Kari and vote leave, would come true. As it turned out, in
certain economically-depressed hotspots like Barnsley and Rotherham,
it was higher than my estimate, at around 70%. Sadly, indeed ironically, these
are also the areas that will suffer the most from the loss of EU money and
investment. Overall, it was 52% leave,
48% to remain, hardly an emphatic result. In fact, in an interview before the
poll, Farage had said that he thought that if it was a close result, say 52% to
remain and 48% to leave, there was a case for a re-run. I don’t hear him
calling for a re-run because it’s 48% to remain and 52% to leave, though. But, a result it was, and now we’re stuck with
it.
On Friday morning, when I got up, I discovered the true
extent of the damage. I was living in a country that had just decided to do the
economic equivalent of shooting your parents so you can go to the orphans’
picnic. I was living in a country that was apparently 52% racist. I got taken to task for
posting this on Facebook, but then I guess that’s to be expected. The truth
always hurts.
It felt like a cross between the morning after someone has
died, and the morning after one of those parties where you get horrendously
drunk and your friends phone you up next day and gleefully recount all the
stupid things you did, and you say “I did what? No Way!”
In any decision involving the UK’s future, the economy has to be
paramount. Brexit, however, had preferred to witter on about immigration.
Anyone who had bothered to look into it already knew that immigration, in
economic terms, has a positive effect on the economy. In terms of the Brexit
argument it was a distraction, being used to whip up xenophobia in the face of
economic sense. Immigrants come, they get jobs, they pay taxes. Those jobs in turn create more jobs, and the
economy grows, and with it the tax take, which is the quickest and best way out
of the wasteland left by the careless bankers and their world economic crash in
2008. It’s not migrant workers who are
responsible for shortages of housing, schools and hospitals, it’s successive
governments who would rather spend the money there is on bombing the Middle East and tax cuts for their cronies. It’s not the
case that there is only a fixed number of jobs and once those are gone, they’re
gone. That’s another Brexit myth by the way, ask any economist. In a growing
economy, jobs create more jobs.
The fact is that there was not a single compelling economic
argument for voting to leave that hadn’t already been comprehensively rubbished
and debunked. In effect, though, overnight, we had kissed goodbye to something
like £220bn of export trade with the EU single market, all of which will now
have to be re-negotiated, all no doubt on much less favourable terms, but terms
which will still require us to pay into the EU and still require us to accept
the principle of free movement of people, except now we won’t have a say in any
decision making process that affects us.
And we only have two years from the point an application is made under
Article 50 to sort something out to allow it to continue, otherwise a howling
great black hole will start to open up in the country’s balance sheet. Fantastic.
I suppose there must have been some Brexit voters who were gullible enough to fall for all that horse-shit about us spending £350million a week on the EU, when in fact, our membership, when all the rebates and payments back to us, and the access to the social fund, the economic development fund, and various disaster funds such as the flood relief fund, was probably a net benefit if all that was taken into the equation. When the EU money disappears and fails to be replaced by central government funding of our own, and when the new prime minister fails to honour the pledge to put £350m a week extra into the NHS, then perhaps the people who voted to leave out of sheer economic illiteracy might re-think, but it’s too late. As I said above, it’s the people who live in the most economically-deprived areas, the former areas of heavy industry, laid waste by Thatcher, who will feel this the most. As a protest vote, it made no logical sense It was like being angry that you live in a shitty little house with crap wiring and bad plumbing, and deciding that the only answer was to set fire to it.
I suppose there must have been some Brexit voters who were gullible enough to fall for all that horse-shit about us spending £350million a week on the EU, when in fact, our membership, when all the rebates and payments back to us, and the access to the social fund, the economic development fund, and various disaster funds such as the flood relief fund, was probably a net benefit if all that was taken into the equation. When the EU money disappears and fails to be replaced by central government funding of our own, and when the new prime minister fails to honour the pledge to put £350m a week extra into the NHS, then perhaps the people who voted to leave out of sheer economic illiteracy might re-think, but it’s too late. As I said above, it’s the people who live in the most economically-deprived areas, the former areas of heavy industry, laid waste by Thatcher, who will feel this the most. As a protest vote, it made no logical sense It was like being angry that you live in a shitty little house with crap wiring and bad plumbing, and deciding that the only answer was to set fire to it.
Sovereignty was another illusion. The idea that somehow, Germany and France
told us what to do, and we were being forced to buy straight bananas by
unelected bureaucrats in Brussels.
This was all bollocks of course, but it was very pervasive bollocks. EU laws,
some of which we adopt, via our own parliament, are voted on by the EU
Parliament, which is that one which Farage is supposed to be a member of,
although I think he’s a member of it ironically, because most of the time he
doesn’t turn up, although – even more ironically - he does still claim his
expenses.
Anyway, some people must have voted “leave” in the mistaken
belief that somehow the Queen would regain “sovereignty”on Friday morning
(sovereignty has been exercised with our consent since January 1649 when we
chopped Charles I’s head off.) Voting to leave last Thursday is not going to
suddenly empower the Queen to start saying “Orf with their heads” and sending
people to the Tower. If only!
I must say, I'm loving all this gorgeous sovereignty,
though. I'm sitting here bathed in it. I felt it the moment I woke up this
morning, like a warm fluffy blanket. Mmmm, sovereignty. Gorgeous. I might try
and polish the clock with a handful of sovereignty later. Or maybe try and pay
some sovereignty into my bank account. Or dig some into the garden, to make the
flowers grow. Sovereignty. Yes, that was definitely what we were missing...
If you wanted the next generation of kids to grow up with
the best prospect of getting a job, buying a house, getting on in life, and
generally living in a stable and prosperous society, the only sane choice on
Thursday was to put away your bunting, stop blindly waving that Union Jack,
tell the Daily Mail where to stuff its straight bananas, and vote to
stay in and try and make the best of it.
Like me, you may not have done so with a spring in your step and a song
in your heart, but if we didn’t, then the lights were going out all over Europe, and we shall not see them lit again in our
lifetime, in the words of Sir Edward Grey.
In effect, some people, particularly those in the
hard-pressed areas I mentioned, treated the Referendum like a protest vote, a
vote against politicians who they saw as distant and uncaring. There is some mileage in that feeling,
because Labour, in particular, have been guilty, since the days of Tony Blair,
of neglecting their core white working class roots and chasing middle class
voters in marginal constituencies. They took the working class for granted, and
the working class, who have seen their services and local infrastructure ravaged
by Cameron and Osborne in the guise of “austerity”, finally snapped and lashed
out at the nearest target, egged on by the likes of Farage and Johnson with
their specious claims to be able to make things better for them.
So, if you voted “leave” for any of the above reasons, then
I am afraid, my friend, you have been misinformed. As I said in last week’s
blog, though, this was a vote from the heart, not the head, and the main issue
affected by that “heart not head” mentality was immigration. So the issue of
racism does come into it, I’m
afraid. Not everyone who voted to leave
was racist. As I said above, some were misguided, some ill-informed, and all
had been consistently lied to by Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage. I do recognise that there is a spectrum of
racism amongst the people who voted to leave. Sure, not everybody is off the scale to the extent of those who filled
Twitter with a stream of revisionist hate and talked about Jo Cox having been
stopped from filling her constituency with more “sub-humans”.
I’ve been surprised, in discussing this, over the number of
people I know and otherwise respect, who
were going to vote leave because of “immigration”. People who I wouldn’t have
expected to. Some are Facebook friends, some are real friends, and some are
even family members. This has been the worst part of the last four months. This
stupid referendum, which I never asked for and which was totally unnecessary,
has caused so much hurt and division.
I’ve seen postings on Facebook where people have been saying
they’re going to go through their friends list and “unfriend” anyone who voted
the opposite way to them. I won’t be doing that, but feel free to unfriend me
if you think I have been too harsh in labelling the Brexit campaign racist and
intolerant. If you voted for it, you were allying yourself with Dominic
Peacock, whose reaction to Jo Cox’s murder was that he would “donate the steam
off his piss”; allying yourself with the people who organised the light plane
towing a “Vote Leave” banner that buzzed the Jo Cox memorial service on
Wednesday; allying yourself with the people who took to Twitter to express
their approval of Jo Cox’s murder because of her views on refugees. You’re lining up with the people who say,
“I’m not racist, but…”
I’m not suggesting you support these people 100%. But you
are, nevertheless, giving them support. Personally I am unhappy with them
having the oxygen of publicity. I’m not that happy about them having oxygen, to
be honest. And if I’ve called someone
racist who thinks that slur is undeserved, and that they had a really good,
solid, copper-bottomed reason to vote leave which wasn’t ultimately rooted in
the lies and racist drivel of people like Farage and Johnson, and hasn’t
already been debunked several times in the run up to the vote, I’d love to hear
it.
Meanwhile, you’re in the same camp in broad terms, with the
bloke from Barnsley who was interviewed by Channel 4 on the day after the poll,
when Barnsley had voted 68% to leave:
It’s all about
immigration. It’s not about trade or Europe or anything like that, it’s all about
immigration. It’s to stop the Muslims
coming into this country. Simple as that. To stop immigration. Right. The
movement of people in Europe is fair enough, but not from Africa, Syria, Iraq and everywhere else, it’s all
wrong.
Or the 82-year-old fishmonger from Romford, also on Channel
4 news:
I’m not racist because
racist means being against the black people. I ain’t got nothing against black
people. But if them Turks come over ‘ere, they’ll bleed us dry.
There are some absolutely great people in Barnsley,
who would give you the shirt off their backs. But there are also some
narrow-minded shitheads who have a family tree that they still live in. I
remember being roundly abused to told to “#### off back down south” in 1989,
when I was living in Carlton,
and a neighbour had locked his wife out of the house on a freezing cold night
during the course of a “domestic”.
Purely because we opened our back door and asked her if she was alright. Barnsley is
a town where the pubs are separated from each other by other pubs, and people
make withdrawals from the bottle bank. A few years ago there was a proposal to
re-model Barnsley and turn it into a faux Tuscan
Hill Town,
by building a large wall round it, and I have to say, I think that building a
large wall round Barnsley would be a very good
idea, for all sorts of reasons. I'm from Hull, by the way, so "#### off back East" would have at least been more geographically correct.
I can tell you now, though, that, if Boris Johnson is
successful in his quest to pull up the drawbridge and fill in the tunnel, then
instead of EU immigrants, it’ll be you
and yours who are working all hours on seasonal fixed term zero hours contracts
instead, at the same shitty wages they used to pay the migrant workers, except
that for them (because they came from a village in Romania with feral goats
wandering in the streets) it was a fortune, whereas for you, it’s breadline and
a trip to the food bank.
It won’t make any difference, though, because the people who
voted to leave had swallowed Johnson and Farage’s vision of plucky little
Blighty, keeping calm and carrying on. Put out more flags, and keep the
aspidistra flying! Back to a Britain
of comical cockney chimney sweeps who all sound like Dick Van Dyke and waifs
and strays dying of rickets in the gutter.
Back to a Britain
of good old Barnes Wallace inventing the bouncing bomb in his garden pond.
We’ll show those bally Jerries! Never
mind, we will still lead the world in, er, something, and I’m sure the gas
board will understand if you tell them you’ll pay the bill when we manage to
strike a trade deal with Tierra Del Fuego.
You’re probably thinking I’m exaggerating here, but sadly, there are
people who do really think like this, and some of them are members of my
family. That’s what UKIP has done.
Thanks UKIP.
Where do we go from here, though? Is it down to the lake, I
fear? [See what I did, there?] I had no
particular brief for, or love of Europe as a
concept. By “Europe” here I mean the European
political project. I am all in favour of the single market, and I don’t have a
particular issue with the free movement of people. I think the Euro was a
really stupid idea, and still is, and I am glad that Gordon Brown kept us out
of it. In fact, I suppose you could sum
up my position by saying that I think , up till Thursday, our semi-detached
status from Europe, retaining our own money supply and with our various rebates
and opt-outs, represents probably the best membership deal we could have, or
rather it was a pretty good platform from which to press for further reform to
benefit the UK.
I’ve been absolutely staggered by the bare-faced outright
lies told by the Brexit campaign. “We spend £350million a week on EU
membership.” We don’t. The true figure is something like £161m when all the
rebates are taken into account, and even that then gives us access to inward
investment from people wanting to access the single market, and access to
various EU funds such as the social fund, the economic development fund, and
disaster funds such as the flood relief fund.
“Turkey
is on the verge of joining the EU.” No it isn’t, not by a long chalk. “People
will be able to travel from the Syrian border all the way to Calais.” No they won’t, various states have
already closed their borders and set up detention camps in response to the
current refugee crisis. “If we weren’t in the EU, we’d be able to spend £350m a
week on the NHS instead.” Yeah, right, I can see that happening, with the
Tories out to dismantle and privatise it. But in any case, we have control of
our own money supply. If we wanted to, we could spend £350m a week extra on the
NHS right now. I don’t notice any Tory voices raised in a clamour for increased
NHS funding though. It was all lies, I’m
afraid.
But for now, we have kissed goodbye to about £220bn of
exports a year to the Single Market, and we need to find something to plug that
hole, and quick. “We’d easily be able to
strike trade deals with the rest of the world and we could still trade with the
single market even if we weren’t in the EU,” said Brexit. They made it sound
like an afternoon’s work. From the point where an application to leave is made
under Article 50, the process takes two years. That is two years of economic
uncertainty, stagnation and lack of confidence, lack of investment, and
pressure on the pound. Germany and France,
in particular, will be in absolutely no hurry to strike any sort of deal with
the UK,
post-Brexit. It is in their interests not to, after all. If the UK is allowed
to waltz away, and then everything carries on much as before, with no apparent
dire consequences, this will send what they consider to be the wrong message,
and feed the incipient groundswell of the right wing in both those countries
towards their own “Frexit" and "Gerexit” movements. And that is the last thing the EU wants. It
wants to be able to point to Britain
as an economic basket case and say “look, this suffering is what happens when
you turn your back on the EU!” It’s already started, the French and German
official snottiness, with Britain
being excluded from the summit discussing Brexit in Brussels next week. There is much, much, more
snottiness to come, believe me.
So, like Norway,
we’ll probably get stuck with still having to pay into the EU and still having
to accept the principle of free movement of people, only we’ll have lost our
previous seat at the negotiating table where we could have had some influence
on these decisions. As for trade deals
with the rest of the world, they, too, will be in no hurry to sign anything. By
voting to leave the EU, Britain has
telegraphed to the rest of the world that it is now in a situation of
desperately needing to sign up trade deals elsewhere, and the longer it is left
by the countries with whom we want to trade, the more they can delay, the
better the terms they will get from us, as desperation sets in further.
The short term turmoil on the international money and stock
markets will settle down eventually. Dramatic as the plunge in the pound
sterling was, as the news of the Brexit vote came through, its wild yo-yo-ing
was largely the result of international currency speculators cashing in. What
we really need to worry about is the gradual depreciation over time, as
existing trade seeps away, and is not replaced by inward investment. If the pound falls consistently, imports will
become more expensive, and food and other prices will rise. The cost of living
will rise. A weak pound is good for exports, but it’s sod all use if there are
no export agreements in place.
As the economy starts to erode, hastened by the loss of EU
money and investment, unemployment will rise, and the tax take will fall,
giving the government even less leeway to replace lost EU money from our own
resources. As it is, they have only pledged to keep certain EU inspired
payments going from our own resources until 2020, and what’s the betting that,
as the crunch starts to bite, that promise will be downgraded to an aspiration.
It’ll start slowly, here and there. A few redundancies, a company closing down,
then the other companies that were part of their supply chain start to feel the
pinch, and they start to shed jobs and retrench, and so it goes. Less
disposable income in the economy means people will cut back on items seen as
luxuries, including books. Putting my own business at risk. I’ve managed to
weather out two or three recessions in the 25 years I have been doing this, but
I have a feeling that the next one will make the Thatcher and the Major years
look like a walk in the park. There are some big decisions to be made. We’ve
already been discussing exit plans, involving possibly re-locating to somewhere
leass expensive and more peaceful, cashing in our chips and downsizing, getting
out before it all comes crashing down around our ears.
There may yet be a few rolls of the dice, though, before it
comes to that. I have no sympathy for
Cameron, who brought this entirely upon himself, as I said. But he may in the end have been smarter than
he looks. He is stepping down in October, but he has not invoked the procedure
under Article 50 for an application to leave. He is going to hand that
particular bag of snakes to his successor, whoever that is. By this mechanism
he has in effect bought the UK
an extra three months for some sort of face-saving deal to be accomplished, or
at least the start of one. The new leader, (who will be elected by Tory MPs,
not by the likes of you and me, how’s that
for undemocratic) may well feel that they also aren’t in too much of a hurry to
invoke Article 50 either, since once that application goes in, the clock is ticking
on the two year countdown.
Nobody knows really whether this is a good thing or a bad
thing. If by some miracle a deal is struck that allows us to continue trading
with the single market without us being totally shafted and ending up still
having to pay into the EU and still having to accept free movement of people,
but having totally lost any ability to influence any decisions, then it will
prove to be one of his few wise moves.
He has also, by refusing to invoke Article 50, rather neatly
shafted Boorish Johnson and Michael Gove. By putting the onus for initiating
the actual legal process of leaving the EU on to his successor, he has, in
effect, handed that successor, whoever he or she may be, the political
equivalent of a Turdburger with a large order of flies. That was why, at the Leave celebratory press
conference, Johnson and Gove looked like somebody whose rabbit had died and
they couldn’t sell the hutch on Ebay.
I never wanted this stupid referendum, though. David Cameron should have stood up to the
hectoring bullying of UKIP and told them to sod off. If they wanted Britain out of Europe,
get enough MPs to form a government (currently they have 1) and then have a go
chum. But until then, suck it up. But he
didn’t. He decided to have his John Major put-up-or-shut-up moment, with the
following, mostly predictable, results:
UKIP’s stance has been “legitimised” by the fact that someone appears to be taking them seriously. [God alone knows why, they only have three policies, leave Europe, send the brown people “home” and bring back smoking in pubs. Mind you, that is obviously enough for some people.] Boris Johnson, who wants Cameron’s job, has been given a tremendous career boost by being allowed to become the figurehead of the Brexit campaign [Who chose him to lead it, anyway?] and used it to further his personal ambitions. A vicious, nasty, bitter campaign, dividing communities and even families has been waged, and these divisions will not go away for a long time; they will rankle for months or years in some cases. Instability and uncertainty over the outcome have flatlined growth at home and we have suffered in the foreign exchange markets as well as people remove their money from our economy by the van-load. Oh, and a politician has been brutally murdered for just going about her business.
UKIP’s stance has been “legitimised” by the fact that someone appears to be taking them seriously. [God alone knows why, they only have three policies, leave Europe, send the brown people “home” and bring back smoking in pubs. Mind you, that is obviously enough for some people.] Boris Johnson, who wants Cameron’s job, has been given a tremendous career boost by being allowed to become the figurehead of the Brexit campaign [Who chose him to lead it, anyway?] and used it to further his personal ambitions. A vicious, nasty, bitter campaign, dividing communities and even families has been waged, and these divisions will not go away for a long time; they will rankle for months or years in some cases. Instability and uncertainty over the outcome have flatlined growth at home and we have suffered in the foreign exchange markets as well as people remove their money from our economy by the van-load. Oh, and a politician has been brutally murdered for just going about her business.
So, well done, Mr Cameron. A staggering concatenation of
tactical errors, from calling it in the first place, to then heading up a
remain campaign that focused on the negatives of leaving without sufficient leavening
of the positives of staying. In your
defence, Mr Cameron, which is a phrase you won’t hear very often from me, so
make the most of it, you were caught on the hop by the eagerness of the Brexit
camp to make up any old lies and rubbish they could think of, and thus your
campaign has been, at every step of the way, one of rebuttal rather than being
one jump ahead. It may also have been a
tactical error to allow your erstwhile colleagues such free rein to campaign
against you, though once the die was cast, I suppose you didn’t have much
option, and watching the Tory party tearing chunks out of each other and
fighting like rats in a sack has been one of the few satisfyingly entertaining
parts of the whole process, except that now, sadly, it looks like the wrong set
of rats has won. Apologies to any rats
that might be reading this, for the comparison I just made, by the way.
Friday seemed, from a political point of view, to be a bit,
er, well, just…odd. We had Cameron’s resignation speech, then Donald Trump
landing by helicopter in Scotland
to be greeted by protests, Mexican flags and a Mariachi band, then giving a
speech where he mentioned the Turnberry lighthouse and seemed to think,
briefly, that he was in Florida
– an easy mistake to make in Ayrshire. Boorish Johnson’s press conference
seemed strangely muffled. Just more of the same tosh, really leavened with
ill-concealed regret. Farage, however, made up for all the rest. It was a
victory, he said, “without a shot being fired”. Except of course for those
three shots last week that cut down Jo Cox in the street in Birstall, but then
he’s already disclaimed any responsibility for the part his racist poster had
in inflaming the mind of the alleged. He also suggested that from now on, 23rd
June should be declared a bank holiday.
He has a thing about shots being fired – back in 2014, for
reasons best known unto him, he called for the relaxation of the handgun ban,
which had been enacted in the wake of the Dunblane massacre. But the most
significant thing he said, so far, was that he thought the pledge by the
official leave campaign to spend an extra £350m a week on the NHS had been a
“mistake” and he distanced himself from it.
And so it begins. Another of the
“leave” cabal, whose name escapes me because he’s such a memorable chap, has
said he “doubts if there will be much real difference in immigration”, while
Nigel Evans MP has declared 23 June to be our “Berlin Wall” moment, although
I’m not clear whether he meant building it, or pulling it down.
The Brexit debacle has had other unforeseen consequences as
well. Labour, or rather those bits of
the PLP who still haven’t come to terms with the fact that their version of
Blairism is now about as popular as a pickle on a babke, responded with a
leadership challenge, just the ticket when there is a greater need than ever to
unite against the evil Tories. Not for nothing is Margaret Hodge, the author of
this misguided intervention, the member for Barking.
Scotland has
also been plunged into turmoil and ferment, because as a country it voted en
bloc to remain, and, as with many other matters, it does not feel bound to
accept the majority decision of the UK.
This means that we’re now shaping up for a re-run of the Scottish
Referendum, which I have to say fills me with the deepest joy at the prospect
of months stretching ahead of the same dreary arguments about currency union
and defence, and all the other things that bedevilled Alex Salmond’s wafer-thin
attempt at confecting a vision of Scottish “independence” in 2014. This time
around, Scotland
is going to have to apply to join the EU and the Euro, with all the delay and
uncertainty that this implies. Otherwise they will be stuck with using someone
else’s currency without control of the money supply, which is very bad news and
definitely the worst of two weevils. This show will run, and run…
I’m feeling very tired and defeated today. I feel the
country I knew, the one I grew up in, slipping away and being replaced by
something much, much, worse. But I will just say this. Excepting my immediate
family and very close friends, who I will of course try and help whatever
happens, don’t come crying to me if you voted to leave and in six months or a
year’s time there’s a howling recession which threatens your business, your
job, your partner’s job, or both; don’t blame me if you still can’t get an appointment with the GP; don’t blame me if your
kids’ school is still overcrowded and
over-subscribed; don’t blame me if there’s absolutely no change in immigration
– as I have tried to explain many times, this would be a good thing; don’t
blame if the library shuts; don’t blame
me for the cancelled trains and the potholes in the street; don’t blame me if
there’s a run on the pound and your investments and pensions are now worth a
brass farthing; don’t blame me if you suddenly find you’re suddenly now working
for the same crappy low rate that Pavel from Poland used to get for packing
strawberries. The festering sore of Euroskepticism which has been eating away
at what passes for the heart of the Tories for twenty years has finally burst,
and we are all now showered with the pus.
I’m so angry with Brexit’s stupidity right now that I almost
don’t care what happens to their supporters afterwards, when they are
struggling with the consequences of their misplaced faith in people such as
Nigel Farage. They will have brought it upon themselves. As Shakespeare says,
“the injuries that men themselves procure, must be their schoolmasters.” Nigel
Farage called the result a victory for ordinary, decent people. Christ help us
all if the leave vote represents the ordinary decent people Well this is supposed to be a religious blog.
Yes, God help the rest of us. I want my country back as well, and it’s not a country that belongs
exclusively to UKIP and its fifty shades of racism. The Brexit campaign talked about putting the
“Great” back into Great
Britain. The things that made this country truly great – compassion, sympathy,
respect, sharing, caring, reason, philanthropy, discourse – are those which
have been most damaged by this whole sorry episode.
Don’t come crying to me. I voted to stay and try and make
the best of it. You brought it on
yourself. Don’t come crying to me, I’ll
be too busy trying to survive to listen to your remorseful witterings .
Thinking about our future, and the future of the business, on Friday, I was
reminded of Kipling’s lines, from If,
If you can bear to
hear the truth you’ve spoken
Twisted by knaves, to
make a trap for fools
And see the things you
gave your life to broken
And stoop, and build
‘em up with worn-out tools…
He wrote some exceedingly good poems, as well as baking
exceedingly good cakes, and I found another one of his, that could actually
have been written with Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage in mind:
I could not dig; I
dared not rob:
Therefore I lied to please the mob.
Now all my lies are proved untrue
And I must face the men I slew.
What tale shall serve me here among
Mine angry and defrauded young?
Therefore I lied to please the mob.
Now all my lies are proved untrue
And I must face the men I slew.
What tale shall serve me here among
Mine angry and defrauded young?
If and when he becomes prime minister, Johnson will have to
deal with the consequences not only of the angry and defrauded young, but the
angry and defrauded old, when they realise they’ve been sold a pup and nothing
has changed, except we’re all a lot poorer. Well, most of us. Johnson’s already
stashed his loot. Still, at least Nigel Farage has finally managed to legislate
his party of crackpots and obsessives out of existence, and make himself
irrelevant. Well, even more irrelevant.
I keep seeing posts in my news feed trying to paint the people
who voted to remain in the EU as "bad losers", who are in favour of
democracy except when it comes up with the "wrong" result. There is a
whole argument to be had about whether the mechanism of a referendum has any
part in a parliamentary democracy, and a whole nother one on whether Cameron
was right to settle for a straight majority instead of insisting on a
"significant" percentage, but he didn't and that's that. That ship
has sailed. We've had the referendum, and we're stuck with the result, for worse
or worse.
I think the people who are posting these things have missed
the point. Most of the posts I have read from people who voted to remain are,
in one way or another, simply expressing dismay, shock, horror, and what I can
only characterise as "bereavement" to a greater or lesser degree. That degree is compounded when we see people
who voted to leave going on social media and admitting that they didn't have
the first scooby what they were voting for, or why. If they'd have known,
they'd have voted remain. FFS! If you are going to screw up the entire economy
for two generations, at least have the decency to Google about it first, you
numpty.
As to the people who made more "informed" choices
to vote leave, I suspect their finger-pointing at the postings of people who
feel truly bereaved by the result is (maybe subconsciously) an attempt to
respond to feeling conned or being called out for supporting the racist lunatic
fringes who voted leave "to keep the Muslims out of Britain" by voting
alongside them. Or they now realise that they voted for a lie, and what's more,
a lie that had actually been comprehensively debunked weeks ago, if they cared
to look it up.
Sadly, I hear news of Polish people in Huntingdon and Peterborough having had
cards pushed through their door written in Polish, calling them "Polish
vermin" and telling them to go home. And in Liverpool, a gang of Polish
builders were surrounded by jeering yobboes chanting at them to leave the UK. I fear this
is only the start, now the pond life of Britain First and their ilk have had
their warped view of the world validated, as they see it.
The thing is that democracy actually works best when you
have an informed electorate and when politicians actually stick to the promises
they made. Some of the promises made by the vote leave campaign are already
vanishing into thin air. When politicians are as cynical and deceitful as this,
it damages everybody's respect for
democracy - in fact, it damages democracy itself. It happened after the 2010
election, when the Tories lied about not
dismantling the NHS, and it happened after the 2015 election, and it is
happening again now. Don't be surprised if people are pissed off. This time,
they haven't even let a decent interval pass before telling people "Ha ha,
we had our fingers crossed behind our back the while time."
Boorish Johnson and Michael Gove realise that they are now
stuck with carrying through the thing they conned 52% of the 72% who voted into
voting for, and Cameron has handed them the political equivalent of a bucket of nuclear waste. .
As Churchill once said (I am paraphrasing here, feel free to
look up the actual quotation) democracy is a terrible system, but all the
others are even worse. I think there's a lot of truth in that. So no, I *don't*
want to keep re-running the referendum until we get the "right"
result, that's what they do in Russia
and China.
You've made your bed, and we've all got to lie in it. But don't expect me to be
happy about the lies and stupidity of the vote leave campaign and its
supporters. I wouldn't even have had the *first* referendum, but we are stuck
with it because Cameron thought he was bloody John Wayne for one afternoon, and
to be honest I view the prospect of a potential second referendum with the same
warm glow of anticipation as I would view bowel surgery in the woods with a
dirty stick and no anaesthetic, or 18th century dentistry.
No, make Boorish Johnson prime minister and Gove Foreign Secretary, and pack them off to Brussels for a 2 year round of Brexit negotiations which will be right up there in terms of enjoyment with an IRA punishment beating. At least it will stop them causing any more mayhem here at home. And while they are there, let them reflect on Hosea Chapter 8 verse 7:
No, make Boorish Johnson prime minister and Gove Foreign Secretary, and pack them off to Brussels for a 2 year round of Brexit negotiations which will be right up there in terms of enjoyment with an IRA punishment beating. At least it will stop them causing any more mayhem here at home. And while they are there, let them reflect on Hosea Chapter 8 verse 7:
For they have sown the
wind, and they shall reap the whirlwind: it hath no stalk: the bud shall yield
no meal: if so be it yield, the strangers shall swallow it up.
Speaking of more spiritual matters, today is the feast day
of St john of
the Goths. Despite his rather wacky title, he didn’t have dozens of piercing, a
sallow complexion, dark clothes, and Doc Martens. He was a bishop, in southern Russia, Bishop of the Goths, in fact. He
defended the use of sacred images at the time in which the neighbouring
Byzantines were embroiled in the Iconoclast Controversy. When the Khazars
invaded the region, John was driven into permanent exile. He died in 800AD.
I’ve become quite interested in Icons/Eikons (I prefer the
Greek spelling) in recent days, since I was gifted some old reclaimed wood, in
the form of offcuts of tongue and groove pine floorboards. Rather than chop
them up and use them as kindling, I decided to have a crack at painting Eikons
on them, in what is laughingly described as my spare time. I have to say it has
brought me a lot of comfort. I am hoping that one of the ones I finished last
week, of a Madonna and Child behind barbed wire in a refugee camp, may be
auctioned in favour of a refugee charity.
I’ve also been thinking a lot about time, and the uses to
which I put that time. On a number of levels. It’s not possible to stop and
give up a business overnight, and certainly not one that you have put 27 years
and counting of your life into. But I do need to carve some time out of
somewhere to plot a way out of the coming morass, and it’s not as if we were
making money hand over fist to start with, on the long, slow, painful road back
from my illness in 2010.
Plus, although I don’t like to think about it overmuch, there’s also the more general issue of how much time I have left, and what I want to spend that time doing. Nothing much is going to change overnight, and obviously I have projects that I am committed to completing, which I will do to the best of my ability. But after that, who knows. My time could be better spent raising money for animal charities and refugees. When the business began, one of the prime movers for it in my mind was philanthropy. I wanted to be someone like Wainwright, who could make a stack of money out of selling guidebooks and then use it to start an animal sanctuary somewhere. Sadly, it never quite worked out that way, and often I’ve been a recipient of charity rather than a donor to it.
Plus, although I don’t like to think about it overmuch, there’s also the more general issue of how much time I have left, and what I want to spend that time doing. Nothing much is going to change overnight, and obviously I have projects that I am committed to completing, which I will do to the best of my ability. But after that, who knows. My time could be better spent raising money for animal charities and refugees. When the business began, one of the prime movers for it in my mind was philanthropy. I wanted to be someone like Wainwright, who could make a stack of money out of selling guidebooks and then use it to start an animal sanctuary somewhere. Sadly, it never quite worked out that way, and often I’ve been a recipient of charity rather than a donor to it.
I originally started this blog, in one of its previous
incarnations, as an attempt to come to terms with my own maundering ramblings
and witterings about my struggles to believe in a God who seemed to be largely
absent, especially when needed to prevent something going horribly wrong with
disastrous consequences. I have been writing this blog for over a decade, about
twelve years in all, and I am still no nearer.
In fact, in my struggle to reconcile church and state, I am even further,
even more convinced of the need for a spiritual revolution in the body
politic. And I am still no nearer being
able to forgive people, in fact, the more I see of the people who would hurt me
and mine, and take the food out of the mouths of my dog and cat, the more
determined I am to see them suffer, which isn’t really a very Christian
attitude.
So, I think I am going to call a halt for a while, and re-assess. If we are going to get any sort of a holiday this year, there is a hell of a lot to do anyway, before we go away, not least arrange the house sitting rota so that Matilda does not starve. But the three hours or so I spend writing this on a Sunday afternoon can, at the moment, be put to a myriad of better uses. We’re in a new, unkind, nastier, pettier country, and I need to take some practical business steps to safeguard the future. If I need to try to reconcile my religious doubts, I’ll do it by painting an Eikon, and if I feel up to it, I’ll use the time to sort out some stuff to go to the charity shop as well, for the refugees or the poor lost dogs and cats in the pounds.
So, I think I am going to call a halt for a while, and re-assess. If we are going to get any sort of a holiday this year, there is a hell of a lot to do anyway, before we go away, not least arrange the house sitting rota so that Matilda does not starve. But the three hours or so I spend writing this on a Sunday afternoon can, at the moment, be put to a myriad of better uses. We’re in a new, unkind, nastier, pettier country, and I need to take some practical business steps to safeguard the future. If I need to try to reconcile my religious doubts, I’ll do it by painting an Eikon, and if I feel up to it, I’ll use the time to sort out some stuff to go to the charity shop as well, for the refugees or the poor lost dogs and cats in the pounds.
Right now, I have a gooseberry pie cooling off in the oven,
and some rain-battered herbs to stake up outside. Life goes on. Sort of. It’s life, Jim, but not as we know it. So here's two cheers for England to see you through: not quite dead, but certainly hanging by a thread.